As the flat season shifts into its next gear, all eyes turn to Sandown this Friday (April 24, 2026), where the Juddmonte-owned Field of Gold is scheduled to line up in the 15:00. This isn’t just any horse; this is a son of Kingman out of Princesse de Lune, and he carries the kind of pedigree that makes bloodstock agents weep into their champagne.
The Gosden Factor: Efficiency with a Smile
John & Thady Gosden are currently operating at a strike rate that would make a seasoned investor blush. Heading into this week, the Clarehaven powerhouse boasts a 28% strike rate for the current season, with 12 wins from 43 runs.
When a Gosden horse is sent to the post, it’s usually there for a reason, not just to admire the scenery. Their “Run to Form” (RTF) percentage remains exceptionally high, suggesting that even when they aren’t winning, they are competing at the sharp end. For Field of Gold, who enters Friday as the evens (1/1) favorite, the stable’s current health is the ultimate green light.
Today’s Hero: Behike’s Lingfield Masterclass
While we wait for Friday, Behike gave us a taste of “the good stuff” today at Lingfield. In the 15:51 Maiden Stakes, the George Scott-trained colt didn’t just win; he dismantled the field.
Sent off at 6/4, Behike made all under David Egan, quickening clear of the 4/9 favorite Golden Brown to win by a comfortable 7 lengths. It was a performance of pure professional authority, proving that he’s far more than just a “useful prospect”—he’s a horse that has officially arrived.
Timeform’s “Ones to Watch” for 2026
If you’re looking to build a stable of “Horses to Follow,” Timeform’s experts have been busy circling names in their 2026 Flat Season guide. Beyond the obvious superstars, here are the highest-rated prospects currently heating up the radar:
Abashiri (Charlie Appleby): A half-sister to Star of Love, this filly showed an electric turn of foot at Kempton that left the handicappers scrambling for their calculators.
Accredit (Roger Varian): By the titan Dubawi and out of a half-sister to the legendary Enable. With DNA like that, he doesn’t just run; he fulfills a destiny.
Opera Ballo (Charlie Appleby): Another Godolphin star that Timeform notes for its massive frame and even bigger potential in the middle-distance categories.
Almaqam (Ed Walker): Currently rated 122; he’s a serious horse for the mile-plus trips and looks like the type to thrive as the ground firms up.
Field of Gold (J & T Gosden): Our Friday hero. A Kingman colt with eyes firmly set on Group 1 honors and a reputation that precedes him into every parade ring.
The Friday Verdict
Friday’s race features a clash with K R Burke’s Zeus Olympios (2/1), but Field of Gold has the “sectional speed” and the “pedigree polish” to handle the task. He showed a turn of foot in the Craven that was hauntingly similar to his father, Kingman. If he settles early, the rest of the field might find themselves playing a very expensive game of “catch the grey.”
Whether you’re following the data or just following the money, the message is clear: the Gosden stable is firing, Behike is a monster, and Friday belongs to the Gold. What do you think? Add your comments below don’t forget to subscribe for free.
Pontefract is not a racecourse for the faint of heart. Nestled in West Yorkshire, this two-mile, left-handed oval, the longest continuous circuit in Great Britain, is a testing ground where stamina and course experience often trump pure speed.
If you are looking to find an edge at “Ponte” in 2026, you need to understand the unique “Uphill Finish” and the specific local trends dominating the winner’s enclosure.
The Anatomy of the Track: Stamina vs. Pace
Pontefract is defined by its dramatic undulations. The track features a sharp downhill run into the home turn, followed by a grueling 3-furlong uphill climb to the winning post.
While the finish requires immense stamina, historical data shows a massive bias toward front-runners. Horses that can lead or sit prominently coming off the final bend have a 26% strike rate, compared to just 5% for those held up at the rear.
The Specialist Factor: Course form is paramount. The “Pontefract Specialist” is a real phenomenon
Richard Fahey: With over 126 career wins at the track, Fahey is the statistical giant of Pontefract. He remains the top trainer by volume in 2026.
Tim Easterby: A local legend who dominates the handicap divisions. If he has multiple runners in a race, pay close attention to his first-string jockey’s choice. David Allan is the go-to man for the Easterby stable, Allan has recorded multiple winners already this April, including a notable double on April 7th.
Craig Lidster: The “value” play of the season. Lidster currently boasts a 21% strike rate at the track, frequently landing winners at double-digit odds.
The “Welsh Punchestown”
Ffos Las is a unique Welsh circuit built on the site of an old open-cast coal mine. It is essentially a “flat” track for jumpers, but its coastal location and soil composition make it one of the deepest, most testing tracks in the UK when the rain falls.Top Performing Trainers (2026 Season)
Ffos Las is a “home” track for many Welsh trainers, but big English yards often target the maiden hurdles here.
The Volume Kings
Evan Williams: Based nearby, he has the most runners (434 over recent seasons) with a steady 10.1% strike rate. He targets the handicaps here religiously.
Rebecca Curtis: Another local powerhouse. She recorded a win as recently as April 12, 2026, with Bridget Mary. Her strike rate hovers around 11%.
The “Raider” Specialists (High Strike Rates)
Nicky Henderson: Boasts a formidable 34.1% strike rate at Ffos Las. When he sends a horse from Lambourn to West Wales, it is usually the “vibrant” favorite.
Ben Pauling: One of the most successful trainers at the track in 2026, maintaining a 30.0% strike rate.
Olly Murphy: Highly profitable for bettors (+£1.63) with a strong 26.9% strike rate.
Will add naps tomorrow morning 🌅 see you then
Good morning 🌅
For the meeting at Pontefract today, Tuesday, April 21, 2026, Timeform have highlighted key horses and “Naps” (best bets of the day).
Best Rated & Tips: Pontefract
Timeform’s top selections for the card focus on unexposed runners and horses returning from breaks with strong handicap marks.
13:42 – Claret And Blues: A Sergei Prokofiev newcomer bred to be sharp; noted as a potential winning debutant. jolly Good Fellows is the current FAV.
14:17 – Lady Youmzain: Expected to set a high standard after an impressive 5-length debut win at Beverley last season.
14:52 – Daizen (Timeform Verdict): Highlighted as a horse that could be underestimated by a mark of 74 following a maiden win at Ayr. CapeAshizuri is also noted as potentially “leniently treated” on handicap debut.
15:27 – Marhaba Ghaiyyath: The top-rated choice in the feature handicap. After a reappearance at Kempton, he is expected to step up back on turf.
16:02 – No Return: Selected as the primary play for this middle-distance contest. Yorkshire Glory is the fav, and can he retain his unbeaten record?
16:32 – Lillistar: Timeform’s pick to take the penultimate race. Watch EW Lady Phoebe.
17:05 – Betweenthesticks: Tips suggest this horse is well-positioned for the finale. Market nibbles for Filly’s Last Lady. 16/1 first show now 9/1.
For the meeting at Ffos Las today, Tuesday, April 21, 2026,
Best Rated & Tips: Ffos Las
Timeform’s ratings emphasize unexposed types and horses with proven track records at this tricky Welsh circuit.
16:38 – Crystal Island: Highly regarded by Timeform after an impressive debut win at Ascot. He carries a penalty but is considered a “promising prospect” capable of defying it.
17:42 – Jaccours: Highlighted as “value for extra” after a course win in January. He is the top-rated selection for this handicap chase.
18:42 – Bataillon: Noted as a strong contender following consistent chasing form, including a win at Taunton earlier this year.
19:42 – Spanish Dancer: Making a handicap debut after showing promise in maiden hurdles. Timeform marks this one as “one to note” in the betting.
Crystal Island (16:38): Trained by Nicky Henderson and ridden by Nico de Boinville, this son of Crystal Ocean is currently the “star of the show” at Ffos Las. Most analysts believe his opening hurdles mark of 132 significantly underestimates his true ability.
18+ only. Betting involves risk and losses are inevitable. Never gamble more than you can afford to lose and do not view betting as a way to make money. If gambling stops being enjoyable or becomes a concern, seek help
If you threw a dart at a map of Ballydoyle, you’d probably hit a Group 1 winner, but today Aidan O’Brien didn’t need luck—he just needed a specimen. Enter Great Barrier Reef, a No Nay Never colt who didn’t just win the 14:25 maiden; he essentially declared sovereign ownership of the Curragh turf.
The “lads” at Coolmore clearly have a type: fast, expensive, and capable of making seasoned rivals look like they’re running through Irish stew. Great Barrier Reef pulled six lengths clear of the 100/1 shot Ischgl, who was likely just happy to be in the same zip code. Aidan, in his signature “he’s a lovely, straightforward horse” tone, hinted that the Royal Ascot dream is very much alive. Next stop? Likely the Coventry Stakes, where he can try to break the speed of sound before lunch.
🎙️ The “Great Barrier Reef” Exit Interview
We managed to catch Great Barrier Reef for a post-race chat. He was surprisingly eloquent for a juvenile, though he did try to eat our microphone.
Great Barrier Reef 🪸
Interviewer: “Stunning debut, Reef! You looked like you were barely trying out there.”
GBR: “Honestly? I was just trying to get back to the stable. I heard there’s a new bag of carrots with my name on it. Also, Ryan (Moore) kept whispering about ‘proper sectionals’ in my ear. I told him, ‘Mate, I’m two. I just want to run fast and maybe kick a fence later.'”
Interviewer: “Aidan says you’re ‘straightforward.’ Is that code for something?”
GBR: “It’s Ballydoyle-speak for ‘I don’t bite the groom and I actually know which way the finish line is.’ High praise, really. I’m thinking of changing my name to ‘The Great Barrier Relief’ because of the pressure. Do you have any mints? No? This interview is over.”
🏇 Tomorrow’s Insider: Monday, April 20, 2026
The hangover from the Curragh settles into a gritty Monday of Flat and National Hunt action across the UK and Ireland. Here is your “need-to-know” for the cards at Redcar, Kelso, Tramore, and Newcastle.
Timeform’s Best Rated (The “Lump On” List)
Worlington (14:42 Redcar) Rating: 121Verdict: Handled a handicap debut at Wolves like a pro; expected to bolt up.
Vollering (14:12 Redcar), Rating: 118 Verdict: High-class pedigree; pick for the opener.
Call Me Betty (20:00 Newcastle) – Rating: 110+ Verdict: Loves the Newcastle tapeta; if she’s fit after the break, she’s the class act.
The Insider
Tramore (Ireland): The ground is “O’Driscolls Whiskey” flavored (Soft). O’Driscolls Irish Whiskey Maiden Hurdle is a split-division minefield, but the Willie Mullins yard usually keeps a “spare” winner in the back pocket for these Monday fixtures.
Will add more in the morning 🌅
Good Morning
For the Redcar meeting today, Monday, April 20, 2026, 🐎
Mr Colonel (16:20). He is widely considered the “banker” of the meeting given his drop from Group race company into a Novice Stakes.
Nap: Cadarn (15:42). Noted for a perfect 100% record (2 from 2) at Redcar and expected to improve significantly on his second start for Kevin Ryan.
EW Harswell River (14:42). Roger Fell’s runner has a great record at this track and is currently 3lb below her last winning mark over this course and distance.
The Statistical Nap: Worlington (14:42) Highlighted by Timeform “Smart Stats” due to jockey Pat Cosgrave’s high strike rate (37%) when riding favorites for the George Boughey yard
Top Yard Stats: David O’Meara (trainer of New Image) has a 13% win rate at Redcar over the last 5 seasons but shows a profit of +£21.33 to a £1 level stake, suggesting his runners are often overlooked.
Jockey to Watch: Hollie Doyle has a strong book of rides today, including the favorite Vollering (14:12) and the well-fancied One Of Our Own (15:12).
For the Kelso meeting today, Monday, April 20, 2026
The Timeform Nap: Looking Splendid (15:00). He showed a “sure-footed round of jumping” last time out and holds a significant ratings edge over his rivals today.
The “Smart Stat” Nap: Jehol De Thaix (14:30). Highlighted for jockey Danny McMenamin’s impressive 38% strike rate on hurdling favorites.
Boley Bob (17:00). Trained by Joe O’Shea, who has a formidable record in these types of races; currently a heavy favorite (approx 2/5).
Ew Erne River (15:30). Timeform notes he has “slipped to a dangerous mark” and, with a 3lb claimer, is the most likely horse to upset the favorite.
Key Course Stats Kelso
Trainer to Watch: N G Richard’s shows a high level-stake profit (+33.77) when bringing single runners to Kelso hurdles. He saddles Jehol De Thaix in the 14:30.
Pace Hint: In the 15:30, Cadell is expected to lead. If the pace is slow, Red Happy (despite a long absence) is noted as one who could benefit from a tactical advantage.
Course Record: Old Gregorian (15:00) has a compelling record over hurdles at Kelso and is considered the main threat to the selection if he translates that form to fences.
For the Tramore meeting on Monday, April 20, 2026,
Top Rated & Key Contenders
19:42 – I Walked The Line: Timeform and Sporting Life highlight this runner as the one to beat in the Hunters Chase. Having won impressively at Clonmel earlier this year, he is considered a strong prospect in this sphere.
19:12 – Lake Chad (6/1): A “horse for the course” selection. With three career wins at Tramore already, this veteran remains highly rated for this specific track and is a key each-way play for trainer Philip Fenton.
17:42 – Kimy (9/1): This runner has dropped significantly in the weights. Timeform notes that she returns to the course and distance of her only previous success, making her a dangerous well-handicapped contender.
18:12 – Might Be The One (7/2): One of the most consistent performers in the field, coming off a string of solid placed efforts. She is expected to be right at the top of the Timeform ratings for this mares’ handicap.
18+ only. Betting involves risk and losses are inevitable. Never gamble more than you can afford to lose and do not view betting as a way to make money. If gambling stops being enjoyable or becomes a concern, seek help
AYR, SCOTLAND, If you like your horse racing with a side of “extreme survivalism” and a dash of “how is that horse still upright?”, then the 2026 Scottish Grand National was the fever dream you’ve been waiting for.
In what can only be described as a race held in a giant bowl of chocolate pudding, Kap Vert didn’t just win the marathon; he basically humiliated the concept of gravity. While the rest of the field was busy reenacting scenes from 1917 in the Ayr mud, the 20-1 longshot glided home like he’d been fitted with secret hydrofoils.
The Attrition Mission
At the start, there were dreams. By the end, there were just six very tired horses and a lot of confused punters. This wasn’t a race; it was an episode of Survivor.
The Ground: Described officially as “Heavy,” but unofficially as “Deep Sea Diving.”
The Casualty Rate: Falling like flies. By the time they hit the home straight, the field looked less like a Grade 1 race and more like a lonely commute.
The Winner: Kap Vert, who apparently enjoys getting his hooves dirty as much as a toddler in a puddle.
Houlihan’s Heist
Jockey Sean Houlihan rode the race with the smug composure of a man who knew something we didn’t. While other jockeys were frantically checking if their horses had an outboard motor, Houlihan sat cool, waitied for the chaos to settle, and then pulled the trigger.
To win a National is an achievement. To win it by multiple lengths at 20-1 while half the field is still somewhere back in the fourth fence’s ditch is what we call “daylight robbery.”
The Bookies’ Revenge
Spare a thought for the “experts” who tipped the favorites. As Kap Vert crossed the line, the sound you heard wasn’t just the cheering crowd; it was the collective sigh of bookmakers everywhere realizing they wouldn’t have to pay out on the “safe bets.”
“He traveled so well, I thought I was in the wrong race,” joked… well, everyone watching from the bar.
The “Sun’s Out, Hill’s Out” Policy: Constitution Hill
Nicky Henderson confirmed today that because the ground has dried up so much, they are pulling the plug on the immediate spring plans. After all that talk about a turf debut, the horse is officially headed for the “summer fields” instead of the winner’s enclosure.
Henderson looked at the Newbury turf today, saw it was “too quick” for his big horse, and basically said, “That’s it, we’re done for now.” He actually asked Ryan Moore.
Instead of chasing rain around the country for the next few weeks, the horse is going on his summer break early.
The plan is now to bring him back for an Autumn Flat campaign. This likely means we’re looking at targets like the November Handicap or even an international trip (there’s still that lingering Melbourne Cup whisper) rather than Royal Ascot in June.
The “Delicate Giant” Vibe
He’s a horse that used to jump 4-foot obstacles at 30mph, but now he can’t run on the Flat because the grass is a bit too “crispy.”
Henderson’s logic is that he’s a “big, heavy boy” and running him on firm ground is like taking a monster truck to a go-kart track, it’s just not worth the risk to his legs.
For tomorrow, Sunday, April 19, 2026, we will focus on the racing action across Plumpton, the Curragh, and Tramore.
Based on current Timeform data and early market signals, here are the best rated horses to keep an eye on.
Plumpton
Plumpton features a competitive card including the Sussex Stayers’ Handicap Hurdle.
14:52 – Loriko: Trained by Dan Skelton. Loriko has been knocking on the door with consistent second-place finishes and looks like a strong candidate to break through in this maiden hurdle. Ballyeaston is the current fav.
16:02 – Lumi Plugin: Rated highly. He’s been progressive over hurdles and was a runner-up over this C&D in January; he remains on an attractive mark.
17:12 – Goodwin: He is a C&D winner and Timeform’s “Horse in Focus” for this handicap. And Alien Storm is another horse to watch.
The Curragh
The highlight of the day is the Group 3 Alleged Stakes, featuring some high-class flat performers.
15:35 – Trustyourinstinct: Joseph O’Brien’s charge is a standout. A Course and Distance winner with a Timeform rating of 110, he is the one to beat if returning to his peak summer form, though he may need to be sharp after a break. Twain is the main danger. EW to Eastwatch.
13:15 – Blixen Force: A two-year-old to watch in the opener. Trained by Robson De Aguiar, this Persian Force colt has strong early-season credentials. Carry The Flag is the possible danger.
13:50 – Sommelier: Showing promise in the 5f sprint, this runner is high on the “Smart Stats” list for the Curragh’s stiff finish, EW Stag Night and Cuban Grey are both course and distance winners.
Quick Tip: The ground at the Curragh is currently listed as Good, while Plumpton and Tramore are expecting Good to Soft conditions, always worth double-checking closer to the first race if the weather turns!
Tramore
14.08 – Ballyhahill: Trained by Gordon Elliott. This 4-year-old showed plenty of promise on debut (finishing 4th) and is a top-rated choice for the Copper Coast Maiden Hurdle.
Don’t forget to comment below, what’s your verdict? free to subscribe.
18+ only. Betting involves risk and losses are inevitable. Never gamble more than you can afford to lose and do not view betting as a way to make money. If gambling stops being enjoyable or becomes a concern, seek help
Note I will update this daily and in the morning 🌅 during the Scottish Grand National Meeting
The feature Betway Craven Stakes saw Oxagon provide the Gosden team with yet another win in this prestigious trial. Under a masterful, front-running ride from Oisin Murphy, the 7/4 shot wasn’t just “good”—he looked like a horse that knows exactly where the 2000 Guineas start line is. He stayed on powerfully to beat Avicenna by two lengths, seeing his Guineas odds slashed to 25/1.
The Abernant Stakes delivered the day’s “cheeky” shock. While the big names were expected to fight it out, veteran sprinter Run To Freedom (28/1) decided he wasn’t ready for the retirement home just yet, showing a devastating turn of foot to claim the spoils for Henry Candy. And for the Royalists in the crowd, Portcullis romped home in the King and Queen’s silks, looking like a proper Group horse in the making.
RacingTV
Ayr Preview: Haggis, Hurdles, and Heartaches
Tomorrow, the focus shifts north of the border for the two-day Scottish Grand National Meeting. It’s the time of year when the jumps season starts checking its watch, but Ayr remains the ultimate “last hurrah” for the stayers.
The course at Ayr is a galloping, left-handed oval that usually demands a horse with a big engine and even bigger lungs. Unlike the Aintree slog, Ayr often provides better ground, favoring those who can actually pick up their feet rather than just swim through the mud.
The Stats That Matter
The King and Queen of Ayr: Lucinda Russell and Nicky Richards usually treat this place like their own backyard. Pay close attention to anything Richards sends over from Greystoke (boasting a massive 34% strike rate here).
The Irish Factor: Keep an eye on Gordon Elliott. He doesn’t just come for the scenery; his strike rate at Ayr is a formidable 46%.
Key Betting & Performance Trends
If you’re looking for a “statistical” profile of a winner, keep these metrics in mind:
The Mullins Factor: Willie Mullins has won the last two renewals (2024, 2025). In 2026, he aims for a historic hat-trick, likely relying on Road To Home.
Weight Matters: Historically, this is a “light-weight” race. Over 70% of winners in the last 20 years carried 11st or less. However, classier horses have begun to defy this recently (e.g., Captain Cody at 11st 4lb).
Age Profile: While “marathon” chases often favor older horses, 7 and 8-year-olds have been the most successful age group lately.
Stat Note: No 13-year-old has won since 1923.
Recent Form: 15 of the last 23 winners finished in the top three on their previous start.
Aintree Connection: It is rare for a horse to run in the Aintree Grand National and win at Ayr in the same season, though Earth Summit (1994) and Little Polveir (1987) are famous exceptions who did the reverse.
2026 Quick Stats
• Distance: 3 miles, 7 furlongs, 176 yards.
• Fences: 27.
• Top Weight: Blaze The Way (12st 0lb).
• Low Weight: Several horses are weighted at the 10st 0lb minimum (or out of the handicap).
What to Expect for the Big One (Saturday)
While Friday is the appetizer, Saturday’s Scottish Grand National is the main course. The early buzz is around Kim Roque (Joseph O’Brien) and the seasoned Git Maker. But if you want a cheeky longshot, Promontory looks exactly like the type of “Dublin Chase” graduate that could thrive over this marathon 4-mile trip.
Pack your binoculars and perhaps a raincoat, it is Scotland, after all. Are you looking to focus on the handicaps tomorrow, or are you holding out for a Saturday “hail mary” in the National?
Will add more tomorrow morning 🌅
Good Morning 🌅top rated horses 🐎
13:45 – Slater Menswear Handicap Hurdle Horse: Castle Ivers. Verdict: Marginally top-rated by Timeform. Despite a 512-day layoff, this former high-class bumper horse returns on a competitive mark for Olly Murphy. Watch for each way money for local trainers.
The Win Bet, chance. 15:30 – Hillhouse Quarry Handicap Chase. Hoe Joly Smoke . Verdict: Carrying the “1” Timeform ranking for this race. Predicted to benefit from a strong early pace that should set the race up for his closing style. Watch Jipcot.
The Big-Race Bet. 16:05 – Abbott Risk Consulting Handicap Chase. The Four Sixes. Verdict: Boasts strong course-and-distance form. Remains on a workable mark and is favored by the soft ground conditions. Watch Sanilam.
The Each-Way Bet. 16:43 – Get Home Safe With Thistle Cabs Handicap Hurdle. Woodland Park. Verdict: The “Handicappers’ Nap.” He has been consistently running well in defeat and remains on a very attractive mark for the Olly Murphy yard. Watch Society Soldier market nibbles ew. Course winner.
Recommendation: The “Nap” of the Day. 14:55 – Maiden Hurdle Dropematthestation. Verdict: Selection from “Spotlight.” Dropping back in trip and following a wind operation, he is expected to find this distance much more suitable.
Key Betting Notes for Ayr Today
The Ground: Officially Soft (Good to Soft in places). Look for horses with proven “mud-lark” form or those by sires like Getaway or Fame And Glory.
Nick Alexander Racing Post
Trainer Watch: Lucinda Russell and Nick Alexander have excellent records at this meeting, keep an eye on Lance Les Des (13:45) and Society Soldier (16:43) as live local threats.
Prominent Scottish Trainers (Within 2 Hours)
While not based in Ayrshire, these trainers are considered “home” stables for Ayr and often send large strings to the festival.
Lucinda Russell (Kinross): Based at Arlary House, about 80 miles (1 hr 30 min) away. The leading Jumps trainer in Scotland and a dual Grand National winner, she is always a force to be reckoned with at Ayr.
Nick Alexander (Leslie, Fife): Based at Kinneston, around 90 miles away. Known for his “Kinneston” string, he specializes in National Hunt (Jumps) racing.
Ewan Whillans (Hawick, Scottish Borders): Based at Newmill Stables, roughly 95 miles away. Part of a famous racing family in the Borders, he frequently sends runners to both the Flat and Jumps meetings.
Iain Jardine (Carrutherstown, Dumfries): Based at Hetland Hill, about 60 miles away. A dual-purpose trainer who has had significant success at Ayr’s major meetings.
Good morning 🌅 Saturday April 18, 2026
The “Och Aye” Outsiders: Ayr’s Ladies Day Ambush
Yesterday at Ayr, the champagne was flowing, the hats were structural hazards, and the local bookmakers were seen sobbing into their tweed. While the racing world waited for the big one on Saturday, Friday’s Scottish Grand National Festival opener proved that if you aren’t a Scottish-trained longshot, you aren’t trying hard enough.
The theme of the day? “Home Cookin’.” While the big southern yards sent up their shiny trailers, the local contingency decided to keep the prizes north of the border. The shock of the afternoon came in the Coral Handicap Hurdle, where Knomorediamonds (for the Scottish-based crew) sparkle-punched the field at a massive 25/1.
Meanwhile, at Newbury, the flat season yawned into life with a 40/1 bomb from Call My Bluff, proving that whether you’re on the grass in Berkshire or the bog in Ayrshire, the “experts” don’t know a bridle from a breadbasket.
Tuppence Racing Post
Ayr Results: Friday, April 17, 2026
1:45 PM – Tuppence (18/1): Kickstarted the day by reminding the bookies that “safe bets” are a myth. A massive result for the early birds.
2:20 PM – Pleasington (6/1): A moment of relative calm where the favorite-backers could finally afford a steak pie.
2:55 PM – Dropematthestation (5/2f): The professional of the bunch. Did exactly what it said on the tin for the punters.
3:30 PM – Twinjets (6/1): Landed the Hillhouse Quarry Handicap Chase with enough gas left in the tank to fly back to the stables.
4:05 PM – Knomorediamonds (25/1): The Local Hero. A Scottish-trained diamond that left the southern raiders looking for their sat-navs. The upset of the meeting.
4:43 PM – Alentejo (15/2): A solid performance for the each-way enthusiasts who like a bit of value with their Friday afternoon pint.
5:15 PM – Balboa (10/3j): Closed the curtain with a “Hands & Heels” scrap that proved fitness is everything in the Ayrshire mud.
The Queen of the North: Lucinda Russell’s Ayr Ambush
If yesterday’s opening day at the Scottish Grand National meeting was a game of chess, Lucinda Russell just flipped the board, drank the opponent’s sherry, and walked off with the crown. While the big-budget “Southern Raiders” were busy checking their hair in the parade ring mirrors, the First Lady of Arlary House was busy plotting a classic Ayrshire heist.
By the time the dust (or rather, the beautifully manicured Scottish mud) had settled, Lucinda had bagged a clinical double, proving once again that when it comes to finding a winner at Ayr, she has the home-court advantage.
The Russell Double: A Masterclass in Value
Tuppence (18/1): The day started with a bang in the 1:45. Ridden by Mr. Lucas Murphy, Tuppence wasn’t just a winner; he was a statement. At 18/1, he sent a clear message to the punters: “If you didn’t back the local yard, enjoy your bus journey home.” He traveled like a dream and put the race to bed with the kind of authority usually reserved for a headmistress.
Knomorediamonds (25/1): If Tuppence was a bang, this was a supernova. In the 4:05 Coral Handicap Hurdle, Lucinda and Michael Scudamore unleashed this 6-year-old at a jaw-dropping 25/1. Under Alan Doyle, he didn’t just win—he went clear before three out and stayed there, presumably looking back to see if the rest of the field had stopped for a tea break.
Why She’s the Queen of Ayr
While the likes of Paul Nicholls (who did manage a win with Twinjets) and the Irish contingency bring the numbers, Lucinda brings the local soul. There is something uniquely satisfying about seeing a horse trained just up the road in Kinross leave the multi-million-pound operations from the Cotswolds looking like they’ve lost their car keys.
With King Of Answers looming large for the big race today, Lucinda isn’t just participating in the festival, she’s hosting it.
“It’s not just about winning; it’s about winning at prices that make the bookmakers look like they’ve had a very long night in a very small cupboard.”
— An anonymous, very happy local punter.
The Verdict
The southern yards might have the fancy sponsors and the shiny silks, but Lucinda Russell has the keys to the kingdom. If you see her walking through the enclosure today with that “I know something you don’t” smirk, you might want to check the odds on her next runner.
Long live the Queen of the North.
The “Enable 2.0” at Newbury
While the mud was flying at Ayr, William Buick and the Gosden machine were busy at Newbury. They unveiled I’m The One, a Sea The Stars filly who didn’t just win; she essentially social-distanced from the rest of the field, winning by six lengths. She’s already been slashed to 7/1 for the Oaks. If she gets any shorter, she’ll be winning the race from the stable.
SATIRE: The Post-Race Breakdown at Newbury
The Setting: A windy parade ring. MATT CHAPMAN, wearing a suit loud enough to wake the dead, corners I’M THE ONE.
MATT CHAPMAN: “I’m here with the absolute STAR of the show! I’m The One! Darling, you’ve just obliterated them! You’re the new Enable! You’re the Queen of Berkshire! Tell the viewers at home—is the Oaks already in the trophy cabinet?!”
I’M THE ONE (The Horse): Stares blankly, breathes heavily. “Matt, it’s a maiden race in April. Can we calm down? I’ve seen more atmosphere in a library. And please, stand back. That yellow tie is actually hurting my retinas. I’ve got better vision than you, remember?”
CHAPMAN: “But the pace! The power! William Buick barely moved! He was just a passenger on the Great Gosden Express! YEEE-HAW!”
I’M THE ONE: “William is a lovely lad, but let’s be honest, I could have won that with a sack of potatoes in the saddle. As for the ‘Enable’ comparisons… I’m three years old. I’ve got posters of her on my stable wall. Let’s wait until I’ve won something with more than two syllables in the name before we start printing the t-shirts, eh?”
CHAPMAN: “What about the 40/1 winner earlier, Call My Bluff?! The punters are reeling!”
I’M THE ONE: “That’s racing, Matty. One minute you’re the ‘Next Big Thing,’ the next you’re 25/1 at Ayr getting beat by a horse named after a piece of jewelry. Now, if you’ll excuse me, I have some expensive oats to eat and a long nap to take. Don’t shout at the camera on your way out.”
Sorry Matt had to be done.
It’s Scottish Grand National Day at Ayr (Saturday, April 18, 2026), and the card is packed with high-quality action. Based on the latest Timeform data, 📈 here are the top-rated horses and expert picks for the meeting.
🕒 Timeform Top Rated & Race Previews
13:10 – Scotty Brand Handicap Chase
Top Rated: Palacio
Analysis: Palacio comes in on the back of a recent win and is favored by the ratings over Sans Bruit and Traprain Law. The 8-year-old looks to have found his rhythm at the right time for the Sam Thomas yard. danger Traprain Law for the Queen of Ayr. Can Aeros luck cause an upset……..
14:20 – Coral Scottish Champion Hurdle
Timeform Top Rated: Tutti Quanti
Analysis: A “zestful front runner” for Paul Nicholls. While he disappointed in the Champion Hurdle at Cheltenham, Timeform notes his dominant handicap victories at Newbury earlier this year make him the clear class act back in this company.
15:35 – Coral Scottish Grand National
Timeform Top Rated: King Of Answers
Analysis: Trained locally by Lucinda Russell, this upwardly-mobile chaser was a strong second in the National Hunt Chase at Cheltenham. He is widely considered the horse with the most “hidden” value under the handicap.
Danger: Montregard (T. Lacey) is also highly rated following a string of progressive wins at Ascot. Watch the Paul Nicholls pair.
🏇 Quick Summary for the “Big One” (15:35)
If you’re looking for the best-rated options in the Scottish Grand National:
1. King Of Answers (5/1): The “Timeform Choice” for local success.
2. Montregard (10/1): A progressive stayer with a great weight.
3. Road To Home (15/2): The sole representative for Willie Mullins this year.
The going at Ayr is currently Soft (Good to Soft in places), which should suit the stayers with proven stamina like Isaac Des Obeaux and Git Maker.
It is Dubai Duty Free Stakes day at Newbury (Saturday, April 18, 2026). The flat season is in full swing with several high-profile Group 3 contests and the wide-open Spring Cup.
Here are the top-rated horses and key selections according to Timeform and industry tipsters:
🕒 Timeform Top Rated & Race Previews
14:00 – Watership Down Stud Too Darn Hot Greenham Stakes (Group 3)
Timeform Top Rated: Zavateri
Zavateri sets a very high standard based on his juvenile form. Timeform notes that while Albert Einstein (Aidan O’Brien) is getting a hood and a second chance at 7f, Zavateri is the one the leaders will have to fend off if the pace collapses.
Coming off a huge Group 2 win at Longchamp last season, Convergent is the class of the field. Though he carries a penalty, Timeform suggests there is more to come from this K.R. Burke-trained 4-year-old on this better ground. Watch 🦁 Lion’s Pride
15:10 – OLBG Prizes Spring Cup Handicap
Timeform Top Rated: Linwood
In a massive 26-runner field, Linwood (Richard Hannon) is highly respected. He is a course and distance winner and looks primed for this following a strong end to his previous campaign.
Classic is another Hannon runner with strong “My Timeform” ratings, often running well fresh. Watch Fifth Coloum.
🏇 Quick Summary of the Big Racesat Newbury
The “Speed” Play: Zavateri (2/1) in the 14:00. He is the benchmark for the 3-year-old sprinters today.
The “Weight” Play: Convergent (2/1) in the 14:35. If he handles the 9-7 top weight, he should outclass these.
The “Value” Play: Title Role (15/2) in the 14:00. Rated as the chief threat to the favorite by Timeform analysts.
Don’t forget to comment below, what’s your verdict? And free to subscribe.
18+ only. Betting involves risk and losses are inevitable. Never gamble more than you can afford to lose and do not view betting as a way to make money. If gambling stops being enjoyable or becomes a concern, seek help
Forget your morning latte; the only “Cravendale” that matters in April is the one served up on the Rowley Mile. While the rest of the world is just waking up to spring, the racing purists are descending upon Newmarket for the Craven Meeting, a three-day bender of potential, pedigree, and the perennial hope that we’ve finally found the next superstar.
A Brief (and Slightly Irreverent) History
The meeting is named after the Craven Stakes, first run in 1771. It wasn’t named after the milk (sorry to ruin the pun), but after William Craven, 6th Baron Craven. He was a Jockey Club bigwig who probably spent more on waistcoats than most of us do on rent.
Initially, it was a “weight-for-age” scramble, but in 1878, it transformed into the three-year-old launchpad we know today. It’s the ultimate “vibe check” for the Classics. If a horse wins here, they’re suddenly the talk of the town for the 2,000 Guineas. If they lose? Well, there’s always “educational experience” to put on the CV.
Why it actually matters:
The Trial Factor: It’s the first real chance to see how last year’s flashy two-year-olds have “wintered.” Did they grow into their legs, or did they just discover a love for hay and naps?
The Track: The Rowley Mile is notorious. With its “Dip” and uphill finish, it sorts the lions from the lambs (or the milers from the stayers).
Newmarket by the Numbers: 2026 Trends
Newmarket isn’t just a racecourse; it’s a high-performance lab. Current trends suggest that the “home turf” advantage is stronger than ever:
Newmarket 2026: The Strategic Lowdown
The Appleby Factor: Charlie Appleby’s Godolphin squad continues to treat the Rowley Mile like their private playground. His runners currently boast a strike rate that makes other trainers weep, if they’re wearing the blue silks at HQ, you ignore them at your peril.
Freshness Over Fitness: The data shows a shift; horses coming off a “winter break” (150+ days) are significantly outperforming those who spent their January chasing pennies on the All-Weather tracks. Talent beats “match fitness” this early in the season.
Draw Bias Dynamics: Keep a sharp eye on the stands’ side. When the ground is “Good,” being tucked up against that rail is often worth a length or two of pure gold.
The Juvenile Pivot: Early-season two-year-old races here are favoring “stamina-first” pedigrees over raw speed, as the uphill finish toward the line is catching out the pure sprinters.
The Daily Naps
The Banker: Cerro Blanco (13:15)
High-class debutant who has been “lighting up the gallops” according to the local clockwatchers. Expect a professional performance.
The Each-Way Snip: Sterling Knight (16:45)
Only 1lb higher than his last win and has the benefit of two runs this season to sharpen the tools. 14/1 in some places is a massive price for a horse that knows where the finish line is. Watch Mister Winston.
Sturlasson (15:35)
Backed by both Timeform and the Racing Post “Spotlight” team. He’s shown a real liking for the uphill finish at HQ and comes here with a fitness edge that many of his “fresh” rivals might lack. Watch we NeverStop
The 2026 Trend Checklist
The Jockey to Follow: William Buick (currently operating at a 28% strike rate at the Rowley Mile).
The Trainer to Watch: William Haggas (sends out Hardy’s Hero in the 15:00, a trainer who traditionally targets this meeting with high-end talent).
The Ground: Currently described as “Good”, which should favor the stands’ side rail in the sprint races.
Wednesday April, 15 The “Buick” Stops Here: William’s Newmarket Masterclass
If you were at the Rowley Mile today, you might have noticed a recurring theme. Blue silks, a determined Norwegian-born pilot, and a trail of exhausted rivals in their wake. William Buick didn’t just show up to the office today; he practically rearranged the furniture.
The Godolphin maestro secured a clinical double on the opening day of Newmarket’s season, proving once again that when it comes to the “Home of Racing,” he’s got the keys to the front door.
The Double-Digit Destruction
The day started with a “blink and you’ll miss it” performance in the opener. Riding the heavy favorite Cerro Blanco for the Appleby powerhouse, Buick looked like he was out for a morning stroll while everyone else was in a frantic Tuesday rush. He dictated the pace with the casual arrogance of a man who knew exactly what he had under the hood, coasting home at 4/9.
He then doubled up in the 14:25, guiding Talk of New York to a commanding three-length victory. At 8/11, the bookies weren’t giving anything away, but Buick’s ride was a masterclass in efficiency, sitting off the pace before pulling the lever and leaving the field looking for their bus fares home.
The Boss’s Verdict: Appleby Grins
Charlie Appleby, usually the picture of measured stable-form stoicism, couldn’t hide his delight at the clinical start to the week. Speaking after the second leg of the double, Appleby was full of praise for his stable No. 1:
“William is just in a different zone right now. He knows this track better than anyone, and the way he handled Cerro Blanco today showed that. We wanted to see that professional edge early in the season, and he delivered it in spades. When he’s riding like this, it makes my job very easy, I just point the horse at the track and let him do the rest.”
Can He Do It Again? Wednesday’s Outlook
The big question on every punter’s lips tonight: Is there an encore?
Buick returns tomorrow (Wednesday, April 15) with a book of rides that suggests the “Buick Double” might become a “Buick Repeat.”
The Big Threat: He’s booked for several key contenders, including Oratorical in the 17:17. With a staggering 28% strike rate at the Rowley Mile, betting against him right now feels a bit like betting against the tide coming in.
The Verdict: While the fields are deeper tomorrow, the Buick-Appleby axis is currently operating with the precision of a Swiss watch. If the ground remains “Good,” expect William to be right in the thick of it again.
Our Advice: If you see the blue cap moving through the bushes at the Bushes, just hand over your tickets now. William is in the mood, and the Rowley Mile is his personal playground.
The Group Race Glory: All eyes will be on Act Of Kindness in the Nell Gwyn (15:35). This is a classic 1000 Guineas trial, and given Buick’s strike rate with Appleby’s fillies, she’ll likely be the focus of many afternoon accumulators.
The “Appleby Anchor”: Poseidon’s Warrior (14:25) in the Feilden Stakes is another big pointer for the season ahead. If Buick bags this one, the “double” from today might look like just a warm-up.
Good morning 🌅
15:00 Earl of Sefton Stakes (Group 3): While Damysus (13/8) is the Timeform pick, Boiling Point is the “Sectional Nap” for several analysts. He is expected to lead from the front, and with no other confirmed pace-forcers in the field, he could prove difficult to peg back if Clifford Lee gets the fractions right.
13:50 Weatherbys Handicap: A wide-open sprint where Realign (5/1) and Invictus Gold are closely matched on figures. Coul Angel is one to watch at a bigger price given his unbeaten record over this course and distance.
Wednesday was The “Doyle-y” Mile: A Quick Word with theWinner 🏆
Location: A very windy Newmarket winner’s enclosure.
The Cast: James Doyle (in mud-splattered silks), Damysus (looking smug), and a breathless Interviewer.
Interviewer: James! A clinical ride. You sat patient, then unleashed him. Was the plan always to wait until the final 200 yards?
James Doyle: (Wiping mud off his goggles) To be honest, the “plan” lasted about four seconds. I told him we should tuck in, and he basically told me to mind my own business. He’s got a mind like a grandmaster and the temperament of a rock star who just found out the hotel has no sparkling water.
Interviewer: He looked like he was idling near the finish. Was he tired?
James Doyle: Tired? No. He just saw his own reflection in the big screen and wanted to admire the muscle definition. I had to remind him there was a trophy involved.
Interviewer: And Damysus, any comment for the fans?
Damysus: (Nudges James hard enough to nearly knock him over, then lets out a sharp, condescending neigh)
James Doyle: He says he’s the best thing to happen to Newmarket since the invention of the betting tax, and he’d like his oats served in a silver bucket. Also, he thinks my post-race celebration was “a bit much.”
Interviewer: Short, sweet, and arrogant. Back to you!
RacingTV
The Betway Craven Stakes (Group 3) is the premier 2000 Guineas trial, run over the same course and distance (the Rowley Mile). While it is an excellent pointer for finding horses that will finish in the “frame” for the Classics, winning both the Craven and the Guineas is notoriously difficult.
Here is the essential data and statistical breakdown for tomorrow’s race:
The biggest trend in the Craven Stakes is that winners almost always run well in the 2000 Guineas, but they rarely win it, and no horse has won the Craven/2000 Guineas double since Haafhd in 2004.
The “Place” Factor: Despite the lack of winners, 6 of the last 7 Craven winners have gone on to finish 2nd or 3rd in the 2000 Guineas (e.g., Field Of Gold in 2025, Haatem in 2024, and Native Trail in 2022).
Derby Clue: Winning the Craven doesn’t just mean 1m speed; Masar (2018) won this race by 9 lengths before going on to win the Epsom Derby.
Key Betting & Performance Trends
Data from the last 20 renewals suggests looking for these specific markers:
Market Strength: 17 of the last 22 winners were 7/1 or shorter. If a horse is drifting significantly in the betting tomorrow morning, history says it’s unlikely to win.
Winning Form: 10 of the last 22 winners won their final race as a 2-year-old.
Draw Bias: While less critical over a mile, 16 of the last 22 winners were drawn in Stall 5 or higher.
The “Fresh” Factor: Most winners have not run yet in the current calendar year; the race is designed for horses making their 3-year-old debut.
If you are following the data, Hawk Mountain (Aidan O’Brien/Ryan Moore) fits the profile of a high-class juvenile returning, while Hidden Force (Charlie Appleby/William Buick) carries the weight of the most successful trainer-jockey combo in recent race history. However, Hankelow is the only runner with proven “Course & Distance” (C&D) winning form, which Timeform rates highly for this specific track. Note Hankelow is now a non-runner
Quick Tips for the “Wood Ditton” (14:25)
This race is exclusively for horses that have never run before, Portcullis, market whispers – but possibly suggest the Godolphin newcomer Crown Knott (trained by Charlie Appleby) will be the one to beat based on home reputation.
Will add more tomorrow morning 🌅
Good morning 🌅
While different tipsters have varied opinions, Time For Sandals (15:00) is the most frequent “NAP” across the national press and Timeform-aligned platforms today.
Main NAP: Time For Sandals (15:00) for most.
Alternative NAP: Maho Bay (16:45) – A Godolphin-owned colt with high ratings following a dominant performance at Kempton.
Value Each-Way: Albaydaa (13:50) –could be a live underdog in the opener.
Avicenna (15:35): Keep a close eye on this Roger Varian-trained runner in the Craven Stakes.
18+ only. Betting involves risk and losses are inevitable. Never gamble more than you can afford to lose and do not view betting as a way to make money. If gambling stops being enjoyable or becomes a concern, seek help
It was another “low-key” Sunday for Aidan O’Brien at Leopardstown, which is to say he treated the Group 3 Ballysax Stakes like a private schooling session that the public was accidentally allowed to watch.
The master of Ballydoyle saddled four of the seven runners, eventually finishing 1st, 2nd, 4th, and 7th. Christmas Day (11/1) clearly didn’t get the memo that he was supposed to be the “second string,” lunging late under Wayne Lordan to deny stablemate Endorsement.
Satirical Post-Race Interviews
Aidan O’Brien (Trainer):
“We’re delighted with them all, really. Christmas Day is a lovely, sleepy horse. He actually thought he was still in the horse box until about the half-furlong pole. Endorsement ran a cracker, and Pierre Bonnard (the 4/5 favorite who finished 7th) just decided to socially distance from the winners’ enclosure today. He’s a high-class horse, he just needs a race where the other horses aren’t allowed to go faster than him. We’ll look at the Derby, the Preakness, and perhaps the Intergalactic Stakes on Mars for them next.”
Wayne Lordan (Winning Jockey on Christmas Day):
“I just asked him to pick up, and he said, ‘Fine, but only because it’s a Sunday.’ To be honest, I spent most of the race checking if Ryan (Moore) was going to go past me on the favorite. When I realized Ryan was busy navigating the Leopardstown scenery in 7th, I figured I might as well win it.”
Musselburgh: The Sunday Series Shuffle
While Aidan was conquering Dublin, Musselburgh hosted a gritty Sky Bet Sunday Series card. The stats favored the favorites early but turned into a bit of a “find the winner” lottery as the evening progressed.
The Results & Stats
Feature Winners: Adonius (1/1f) justified the hype in the 15:45, but the value hunters cheered as Fast Fred (10/1) and Abduction (10/1) landed the later handicaps.
The Stats: Out of 6 races, only one clear favorite obliged. The average winning SP was a healthy 13/2, proving once again that the “Sunday Series” is where betting slips go to die or get legendary.
The “Northern Spirit” Protest
The 18:15 handicap provided the drama of the day, or lack thereof, from Northern Spirit. While the rest of the field prepared for a lung-bursting sprint, Northern Spirit decided that the starting stalls were actually a very cozy studio apartment. Despite the best efforts of the handlers, the horse simply refused to leave, essentially telling the starter: “I’ve seen the Scottish weather forecast, and I’m staying in.” He was officially marked as “Slowly Away” (by about three miles).
Musselburgh Northern Spirit
Tomorrow’s Pointers: Monday, April 13
If you’re looking to rebuild the bankroll after Northern Spirit’s sit-in, have a look at these 🐎 for Monday’s action.
Newcastle (All-Weather) 17:30 EW Fuzeyya: Dropped to a mark of 50; her pedigree suggests she is significantly better than this grade and remains a major player in this field.
Leicester (Afternoon Flat)
13.52 – Railwayman: K.R. Burke newcomer with a “Timeform P.” He’s a son of Blue Point and carries a lot of stable confidence for this debut.
Hexham (Jumps)
17:00 – Brandy McQueen: He’s the clear chance for the day at Hexham. He has a great record at the track and is currently clear on adjusted figures.
17:00 Ew Lunar Contact: The biggest threat to the favorite. Consistent, well-regarded, and also rated significantly clear of the rest of the field.
Based on the most recent data for the 2024–2026 period, here are the trainers you should keep an eye on when looking at the Hexham racecards.
If you are looking at long-term consistency over the past several seasons, these names dominate the Hexham leaderboard:
Current Season Leaders
Based on the most recent racing data, here are the top-performing trainers at Hexham:
Lucinda Russell
• Performance: 6 Wins from 31 Runs
• Strike Rate: 19%
• Insight: As the leading trainer at Hexham over the last five years, her stable is a consistent force.
Susan Corbett
• Performance: 5 Wins from 34 Runs
• Strike Rate: 15%
• Insight: She has been highly profitable for bettors recently, showing a strong +£32.20 return on a £1 stake.
Jennie Candlish
• Performance: 4 Wins from 12 Runs
• Strike Rate: 33%
• Insight: Boasts an exceptional strike rate, indicating she places her horses very effectively at this specific track.
George Bewley
• Performance: 4 Wins from 38 Runs
• Strike Rate: 11%
• Insight: A local mainstay who frequently targets specific handicaps at this venue.
Gary Hanmer
• Performance: 3 Wins from 6 Runs
• Strike Rate: 50%
• Insight: Despite the small sample size, he is incredibly efficient when sending runners north to this course.
Mark Walford: Currently one of the most successful trainers at the track with 26 wins from 140 runs (19% strike rate).
Nicky Richards: Known for a high-quality approach at Hexham, maintaining a 20% strike rate and a very high “place” percentage (44%).
Rebecca Menzies: Often has the highest number of runners at the track. While her win percentage is lower (8%), she is a frequent visitor to the winner’s enclosure due to volume.
John McConnell: The Irish “raider” to watch. When he brings horses across the Irish Sea to Hexham, they perform exceptionally well (approx. 35% win rate).
Strategic Insights for Hexham
The “Long-Travel” Factor: Keep an eye on trainers like Jamie Snowden, Nicky Henderson, or Alan King. They don’t send runners to Hexham often, but when they make the 250+ mile trip from the south, their strike rates are often above 25%.
The Finish: Because of the steep uphill finish, look for trainers who prioritize stamina. Stuart Coltherd and Susan Corbett often field horses that are battle-hardened for these specific conditions.
18+ only. Betting involves risk and losses are inevitable. Never gamble more than you can afford to lose and do not view betting as a way to make money. If gambling stops being enjoyable or becomes a concern, seek help
He came, he saw, he conquered, and then he checked his notifications. After a historic win at Aintree yesterday (April 11, 2026), I Am Maximus became the first horse since the legendary Red Rum to regain the Grand National title.
While the punters are busy counting their literal bags of cash, here is the “exclusive” look at the WhatsApp group chat from the Aintree stables.
The Group Chat: Aintree Avengers 🐎
I Am Maximus: [Sent at 17:45] Still out of breath, but mostly from carrying that 11-st 6-lb weight. Paul, you owe me a massage. 💅🏆
Iroko (2nd Place): Great race, Max. I was breathing down your neck at the last, but you’ve got gears I didn’t know existed. Drinks are on you?
Johnnywho (4th Place): I’m just happy to be here. JP McManus is going to need a bigger trophy cabinet for us. 🟢🟡
Minella Indo: [Left the group] Corach Rambler: Imagine actually finishing the race. Can’t relate. I prefer the “scenic unseat” route at the first fence. 10/10 for the tumble, though. 🤸♂️
Tiger Roll (Legend Status): Welcome to the Multi-Win Club, kid. Don’t let it go to your head. I still have the better hair.
I Am Maximus: @TigerRoll Respect. Also, to the punter who put £100k on me… I hope you’re buying the high-grade carrots for the rest of the year. 🥕💰
Grand National 2026: The Official Placings
The 178th running of the Grand National was a bloodbath for the bookmakers. Sent off as the 9/2 favorite, I Am Maximus led home a historic 1-2-4 for owner JP McManus.
🏆 1st Place: The Immortal
You didn’t just win a race; you survived a stampede.
The Reward: A massive trophy, a permanent spot in the history books, and enough prize money to buy a small island (or at least pay off your bar tab in Liverpool).
The Vibe: Smugness. Pure, unadulterated smugness. You’ll be dining out on this story until 2050.
🥈 2nd Place: The “So Close, Yet So Far”
The most heartbreaking spot on the turf. You did everything right, jumped 30 fences perfectly, and then got pipped at the Elbow by a horse whose name you can’t even pronounce.
The Reward: A decent check and the distinct feeling that you’re the “Buzz Aldrin” of the afternoon.
The Vibe: Polite clapping while internally screaming.
🥉 3rd & 4th Place: The Each-Way Heroes
These are the most important horses in Britain because they’ve just saved the general public’s bank accounts.
The Reward: You’ve kept the dream alive for Grandma, who bet £2 on you because she “liked the jockey’s silks.”
The Vibe: Quiet dignity and a sigh of relief from everyone except the bookies.
🎖️ 5th & 6th Place: The “Wait, Did I Win?”
In any other race, 6th is a failure. In the National, it’s a miracle. Depending on which bookmaker you used, this might still pay out.
The Reward: A pat on the neck and a “participation trophy” in the form of a small slice of the prize pool.
The Vibe: Checking your betting app 14 times to see if your 1/5th odds payout actually cleared.
🏆 2026 Grand National Placings
I Am Maximus
Iroko
Jordans
Johnnywho
High Class Hero
A Message to the £100k Punter
If you really did drop 100 grand on I Am Maximus at 7/1, your bag (as seen in the photo) should contain roughly £800,000 (your £700k profit plus your stake back).
Pro-Tip: Don’t leave that bag in the back of a Corsa. Get it to a vault, buy Maximus a gold-plated bucket of oats, and maybe retire before Monday morning. 🏛️🐎💰
It is Sunday, April 12, 2026, and we are coming off the back of a huge Grand National weekend at Aintree. Today’s action across the UK and Ireland features a mix of Flat and Jump racing, with Leopardstown hosting the standout card of the day.
Here is your guide to today’s meetings:
🇮🇪 Ireland
Ireland has two primary meetings today, featuring high-quality Flat action and competitive National Hunt racing.
Leopardstown (Flat): The premier meeting of the day.
Highlights: The Group 3 Ballylinch Stud Red Rocks Stakes (3:55 PM) is the feature.
Going: Good to Yielding.
Down Royal (Jumps): A solid seven-race card.
Highlights: Competitive handicaps featuring runners from the top yards like Willie Mullins and Gordon Elliott.
Going: Good.
🇬🇧 United Kingdom
There are three meetings in the UK today, split between the Flat and the Jumps:
Feature: Sky Bet Club British EBF Novice Stakes (3:45 PM) / Holyrood Handicap
Going: Good (Good to Soft in places)
Best Rated & Verdicts, “top-rated” horses based on their adjusted performance figures, Here are the key selections for today:
Leopardstown (5:25 PM): Madbadanddangerous note Timeform Verdict: Finished his juvenile season with a useful third and is expected to thrive over today’s 1m 2f trip. Narrowly preferred over the Aidan O’Brien-trained Cape Cod.
Musselburgh: Blues and Royals (4:15 PM) is the “consensus” pick of the day, appearing as a NAP for multiple publications including the Sunday Telegraph.
Leopardstown: Watch Thundering On (2:10 PM); it’s a strong fancy for the opening maiden and could be a significant market mover.
Star Selection: Adonius (15:45) holds a high Timeform rating after posting an impressive speed figure on debut. He carries a penalty but is considered “destined for better company.”
Trainer to Watch: K.R. Burke has a high strike rate (29%) at Musselburgh and saddles Penny Arcade (15:45), who is noted as the main danger to the favorite.
18+ only. Betting involves risk and losses are inevitable. Never gamble more than you can afford to lose and do not view betting as a way to make money. If gambling stops being enjoyable or becomes a concern, seek help
Notewill continue to add results to this article and best rated horses on an evening, each day of the meeting. Naps in the morning. 🌅
Have updated don’t forget to subscribe for free below.👇🏼
Welcome to the 2026 Grand National Meeting, three days of Liverpudlian glitter, questionable millinery choices, and the kind of sporting drama that makes even the most casual observer believe they can “read” a 34-runner handicap.
Running from Thursday, April 9 to Saturday, April 11, the Aintree Festival is the more relaxed, slightly louder cousin to Cheltenham. While Cheltenham is for the purists, Aintree is for the punters. Here is your witty (yet statistically clinical) guide to surviving the meeting.
While Saturday is the day for the office sweepstakes and people who think “Each-Way” is a brand of travel insurance, the Thursday and Friday of the Aintree meeting are where the real betting souls live.
It’s a 48-hour blur of Grade 1 prestige, Merseyside hospitality, and the distinct possibility of losing your shirt before the National even starts. Here is how to navigate the “Opening Day” and the legendary “Ladies Day” with your dignity, and perhaps your wallet, intact.
🐎 Thursday: The “Opening Day” (April 9, 2026)
Thursday is for the purists. It’s the day when horses that found Cheltenham a bit too “stressful” come to Liverpool to seek redemption.
The Highlight: The Aintree Bowl (2:55 PM)
Commonly known as the “Gold Cup Consolation Prize,” this race is often better than the actual Gold Cup because the horses aren’t terrified of the uphill finish. The Trend: Look for Jango Baie and Impaire Et Passe. Stats suggest that horses who ran in the Ryanair Chase or the Gold Cup but didn’t actually win often find the flat track of Aintree much more to their liking.
The Vibe: Serious. It’s all about the form. If you see someone in a tweed three-piece suit whispering to a bin man, they’re probably discussing the ground conditions.
The Wildcard: The Foxhunters’ Chase (3:30 PM)
This is the Grand National fences, but for amateur riders. It is essentially “The World’s Most Dangerous School Run.”
The Punter’s Tip: Experience is everything here. You want a horse like Barton Snow or Its On The Line, beasts that have jumped these fences before and jockeys who have a day job but a very high pain threshold.
🥂 Friday: “Ladies Day” (April 10, 2026)
Friday is a unique ecosystem. It is a kaleidoscope of neon fascinators, fake tan, and some of the highest-quality chasing you will see all season.
The Class Act: The Melling Chase (3:30 PM)
This is the “Speedster’s Derby.” It’s over 2 miles and 4 furlongs, which is the horse racing equivalent of a middle-distance sprint.
The Front-Runner: Grey Dawning is the one to watch. The stat to remember here is “Freshness.” At this stage of the season, a horse that bypassed the grueling festivals in March is like a sprinter who’s been on a spa retreat while everyone else was doing CrossFit.
The Trend: Since 2013, 80% of winners had finished in the top three on their previous start. Consistency isn’t just a virtue; it’s a betting strategy.
The Chaos: The Topham Chase (4:05 PM)
If you like the Grand National but wish it was over faster and involved more shouting, the Topham is for you. It’s over the National fences, but at a suicidal pace.
Course Specialists: Horses like Madara and Gentleman De Mee are the types to look for. You need a “bold” jumper, one that treats the fences like a minor inconvenience rather than a life-altering event.
The “Weight” Factor: Unlike the big race on Saturday, the Topham is often won by horses carrying a bit more class. Don’t be afraid of the top-weights; they are usually there because they are actually good at jumping.
📉 Statistical Truths for the Mid-Week
1. The Cheltenham Hangover: Be wary of horses that had “gut-wrenching” battles at Cheltenham three weeks ago. If they look tired in the paddock, they are tired. Aintree rewards the “Handy & Happy”—horses coming in fresh.
2. The Mullins Factor: As usual, Willie Mullins will likely bring half of Ireland with him. However, the “Aintree Mullins” is different from the “Cheltenham Mullins.” He often uses this meeting to let his second-string stars shine.
3. Flat vs. Hill: Aintree is flat as a pancake. Horses that “stuck on” at Cheltenham often find themselves outpaced here. Look for “speedy” profiles rather than “plodders.”
📅 The Three-Day Lay of the Land
Day 1: Opening Day (Thursday),The day for the serious “heads.” Four Grade 1 races, including the Aintree Bowl. It’s the day we find out which horses were actually tired after Cheltenham and which were just pretending.
Day 2: Ladies Day (Friday), Officially about fashion; unofficially about the Melling Chase. Expect high heels, higher expectations, and the traditional photo of someone eating a burger in a £500 dress.
Day 3: Grand National Day (Saturday), The main event at 4:00 PM. The world stops for about nine minutes, 30 fences, and 4\ 1/4 miles of organized chaos.
📊 The “Golden Goose” Statistics
If you want to sound like an expert at the bar, ignore the horse’s name and focus on the cold, hard numbers. Modern trends have turned the National from a “lottery” into a very specific puzzle.
1. The Sweet Spot (Age & Weight)
Age: 10 of the last 11 winners were aged 7 to 9. The “Old Guard” (11+) has largely been put out to pasture by a faster, classier modern race.
Weight: Look for the “Middleweights.” 9 of the last 11 winners carried between 10st 5lb and 11st 8lb. Carrying 12st over 30 fences is essentially like trying to run a marathon with a small child on your back.
2. The “Hard Race” Fallacy
Conventional wisdom says a horse needs to be “battle-hardened,” but the stats suggest otherwise.
The Campaign: 9 of the last 11 winners had no more than 6 runs that season.
Freshness: You want a horse that is fit but not “cooked.” 9 of the last 11 winners had their last run within 16 to 42 days of the National. If they haven’t run since Christmas, they’ll lack “match fitness”; if they ran a grueling race 10 days ago, their legs will turn to jelly at the Elbow.
3. The Front-Runner vs. The Closer
Front-Runners: Historically, trying to lead the Grand National from start to finish is a suicide mission. However, since the fences were softened in 2013, “prominent” racers (those in the first 6-8) have fared much better.
The Closer: Coming from the very back is a nightmare. With 34 runners, the amount of “traffic” is worse than the M6 on a Bank Holiday. You want a horse that sits handy, close enough to see the lead, but far enough back to let someone else do the wind-breaking.
The final field for the 2026 Grand National (taking place Saturday, April 11) is currently limited to a maximum of 34 runners.
While the “Final Declaration” stage (the 48-hour stage) technically occurs on Thursday, April 9, the list below reflects the confirmed top 34 as of the most recent scratchings. Note that Spillane’s Tower has reportedly been diverted to the Bowl Chase, which has allowed Pied Piper to move into the top 34.
🏗️ The Tale of Two Circuits
Most people think “Aintree” and see the Grand National fences. In reality, the meeting uses two very different tracks for the chase races.
1. The National Course (The Big One)
Circumference: 2 miles, 2 furlongs.
The Shape: Triangular. The apex is at the Canal Turn, which is the furthest point from the stands.
The Run-In: A brutal 494 yards from the final fence to the line, featuring “The Elbow.” This is where dreams, and betting slips, are famously shredded.
The Fences: 16 spruce-covered obstacles (30 jumped in total). Unlike the standard orange-and-white birch fences elsewhere, these are unique to Aintree.
2. The Mildmay Course (The Sharp One)
The Shape: Rectangular and tight.
The Style: This is used for the non-National chase races (like the Bowl and the Melling Chase).
The Key Stat: It favors “handy” types. Because the bends are so sharp, horses that need half a mile to get into top gear (long-striders) struggle. You want a horse that can corner like a Mini Cooper, not a freight train.
🚧 Notorious Obstacles: By the Numbers
If a horse can’t jump, they’re just expensive lawnmowers. Here is what they are facing:
The Chair (Fence 15): The tallest at 5ft 2in. It has a 6ft open ditch on the take-off side and the landing side is actually higher than the take-off. It’s a mental and physical mountain.
Becher’s Brook (Fence 6 & 22): Standing at 4ft 10in, its danger lies in the 10-inch drop on the landing side. Horses don’t expect the floor to disappear.
Canal Turn (Fence 8 & 24): A 5ft fence followed immediately by a sharp 90-degree left turn. Jockeys who try to take the shortest route (jumping it at an angle) are the ones with nerves of steel.
⚠️ The “Cheltenham Factor”
The most important stat for the three-day meeting is the 25-day gap.
Avoid: Horses that had a “hard race” (beaten by less than 2 lengths in a grueling finish) at the Cheltenham Festival.
Target: The “Fresh Blood.” Look for horses that either bypassed Cheltenham entirely or “cruised” to a finish without being emptied. Aintree is a flat, fast track; a horse with “heavy legs” will be left behind when the sprinting starts at the 2-furlong pole.
Expected 2026 Grand National Runners
Jockeys are being confirmed throughout the week; TBC indicates the rider is not yet officially declared for the Saturday race.
2026 Grand National Runners & Jockeys
1. I Am Maximus (Willie Mullins) — Paul Townend
2. Nick Rockett (Willie Mullins) — Patrick Mullins
3. Banbridge (Joseph O’Brien) — JJ Slevin
4. Grangeclare West (Willie Mullins) — Brian Hayes
5. Gerri Colombe (Gordon Elliott) — Jack Kennedy
6. Haiti Couleurs (Rebecca Curtis) — Sean Bowen
7. Firefox (Gordon Elliott) — Sam Ewing
8. Monty’s Star (Henry de Bromhead) — Darragh O’Keeffe
9. Spanish Harlem (Willie Mullins) — Danny Mullins
10. Lecky Watson (Willie Mullins) — Sean O’Keeffe
11. Champ Kiely (Willie Mullins) — TBC
12. Iroko (Greenall & Guerriero) — Jonjo O’Neill Jr.
13. Favori De Champdou (Gordon Elliott) — Jordan Gainford
14. Three Card Brag (Gordon Elliott) — TBC
15. Oscars Brother (Connor King) — Daniel King
16. Mr Vango (Sara Bradstock) — Jack Tudor
17. High Class Hero (Willie Mullins) — TBC
18. Stellar Story (Gordon Elliott) — TBC
19. Beauport (Nigel Twiston-Davies) — Sam Twiston-Davies
20. Captain Cody (Willie Mullins) — Harry Cobden
21. Jagwar (Greenall & Guerriero) — Mark Walsh
22. Perceval Legallois (Gavin Cromwell) — Sean Flanagan
23. Gorgeous Tom (Henry de Bromhead) — TBC
24. The Real Whacker (Patrick Neville) — Brian Hughes
25. Quai De Bourbon (Willie Mullins) — TBC
26. Answer To Kayf (Terence O’Brien) — John Shinnick
27. Jordans (Joseph O’Brien) — TBC
28. Final Orders (Gavin Cromwell) — Conor Stone-Walsh
31. Top Of The Bill (Nigel Twiston-Davies) — Toby McCain-Mitchell
32. Johnnywho (Jonjo O’Neill) — Richie McLernon
33. Twig (Ben Pauling) — Beau Morgan
34. Pied Piper (Gordon Elliott) — TBC
Reserves (In Order)
• Imperial Saint (35)
• Amirite (36)
• Ain’t That A Shame (37)
• Yeah Man (38)
I Am Maximus is the current market favorite, looking to reclaim the title he won in 2024. Keep an eye on Jagwar and Iroko, both of whom have seen significant market support since the weights were released.
Note I will keep adding to the blog each morning 🌅
Good morning Day 1 dilemma. Thursday 9th April 2026
Maestro Conti: A popular choice among Timeform analysts (notably Dave Nevison). He traveled exceptionally well in the Triumph Hurdle and is expected to thrive on this flatter track.
Selma De Vary: Highlighted as a strong alternative, specifically because the return of the tongue-tie is expected to see her find more under pressure.
15:30 – Randox Foxhunters’ Chase
Unexpected Party: Currently the “Weight-Adjusted” top-rated horse in the field. After a strong campaign, he is many experts’ Nap of the Day for his experience and class edge in this amateur rider’s contest.
Barton Snow: The primary danger with a perfect recent “1-11111” form string.
16:40 – Red Rum Handicap Chase
Sans Bruit: Trained by Paul Nicholls, this horse is being backed heavily. Timeform notes him as a specialist at this distance who is currently well-handicapped.
Inthepocket: A high-class Grade 1 winner over hurdles who is rated to be much better than his current chase mark of 146 suggests.
Quick Tips for the Day
Going: Good to Soft (mild rain expected).
Trainer to Watch: Dan Skelton has several top-rated runners today, including Maestro Conti and Unexpected Party. Gordon Elliot is also another trainer to watch.
.Jockey to Watch: Harry Cobden has a strong book of rides, particularly Sans Bruit in the Red Rum.
Aintree’s Thursday Thrills: Jango Baie Rules the Bowl While Brighterdaysahead Outshines the Rest
The opening day of the 2026 Aintree Festival certainly didn’t lack for drama, or French-bred dominance, proving that while the Grand National is the main course, the appetizers are plenty meaty.
Between the jumping mishaps and the heavyweights flexing their muscles, it was a day where “class” wasn’t just a category on the racecard, but a statement of intent.
The Stars of the Show
Jango Baie (The Aintree Bowl)
Image from the Racing Post
Fresh off a silver medal in the Gold Cup, Jango Baie decided that being the bridesmaid was a 2025 trend. He didn’t just win the Bowl; he practically rearranged the furniture. While he was left “lonely at the top” after Impaire Et Passe took a tumble at the second last, Jango was already traveling like a horse with a dinner reservation he didn’t want to miss. A 16-length victory is less of a “well done” and more of a “rest of the field, please see me in my office.” Nicky Henderson’s star is officially the king of the three-mile stayers this afternoon.
Brighterdaysahead (The Aintree Hurdle)
Image from the Racing Post
Living up to a name like that is a lot of pressure, but she made it look like a casual trot in the park. Securing her fifth Grade 1 career success, she confirmed that her Champion Hurdle form was no fluke. She brushed off The New Lion with the kind of clinical efficiency usually reserved for tax audits. Gordon Elliott called her the “apple of his eye,” and after that performance, she’s probably the apple of every punter’s eye, too.
The Grand National updated list:
Prices as of today from At The Races 9 April
Tomorrow at a glance Aintree 10th 2026 top rated horses (will add nap’s tomorrow morning 🌅)
15.30 Melling Chase:
Grey Dawning is a standout choice for many Timeform followers. The drop back in distance is seen as a tactical advantage here. Heart Wood is the main danger and NAP.
16:05 Randox Topham Handicap Chase:
Il Est Francais is the class horse of the race, though Madara (Skelton) and Will The Wise (Cromwell) are noted as having better “handicap value” according to the latest TFR figures.
17:15 Handicap Hurdle:
Captain Ryan Matt and Laafi are the primary focus. Laafi has been highlighted for his jumping ability and high “Timefigure” from his previous run at Kelso.
Good morning 🌅
Gold Dancer (14:20): The RaceiQ “Nap of the Day” on some platforms; noted for jumping “alacrity” and likely to improve over this longer trip.
Zeus Power (16:40): A strong selection in the Sefton Novices’ Hurdle. He performed exceptionally well in the Baring Bingham and is expected to relish the step up in trip.
Sober Glory (14:55): Highlighted as a horse seeking “compensation” after an unlucky run in the Supreme Novices’ Hurdle.
Grand National 2026: Timeform Weight-Adjusted Ratings
The Grand National takes place tomorrow, April 11. Timeform has released their weight-adjusted ratings (TFR), identifying which horses are technically “well-in” based on their handicap marks.
Top 5 Rated Horses:
1. Johnnywho – 184
2. Jagwar – 183
3. Perceval Legallois – 181 (Also tipped as the “Best Outsider”)
4. Final Orders – 180
5. Panic Attack – 180
Hats, Hooves, and Heartbreak: Aintree’s Ladies Day 2026
If you woke up today in Liverpool and didn’t see a fascinator larger than a satellite dish, you were probably in the wrong city. Ladies Day at Aintree has once again proven that while the horses do the running, the spectators do the heavy lifting, mostly in terms of balancing four-inch heels on damp grass and keeping prosecco upright in a gale.
While the Style Awards saw Hannah Smith from Edinburgh take the “Best Dressed” crown (honorable mention to the thousands of others who braved the Merseyside breeze in little more than silk and hope), there was actually some racing going on between the selfies.
Can Grangeclare West land the big one?
While individual pundits vary, Grangeclare West is the standout “Nap” profile for 2026.
Why: He followed the “Mullins Blueprint” by winning the Bobbyjo Chase convincingly. Historically, winners of that race (like I Am Maximus and Nick Rockett) go on to massive runs at Aintree. Timeform notes he would have likely won last year if not for a blunder at the final fence.
The “Where Did That Come From?” Award
Goes to Storming George. At 16/1, he didn’t just win the Top Novices’ Hurdle; he effectively paid for a lot of expensive dinners in Liverpool tonight. If you backed him, congratulations on your new-found genius. If you didn’t, don’t worry, there’s always the 20-1 shot in the last race.
The Irish Invasion
It wouldn’t be Aintree without a bit of Irish magic to dampen the local spirits (in the friendliest way possible). Laafi (20/1) snagged the finale, leaving 88-year-old trainer William Durkan in tears and the rest of the field wondering where the top-weight found those extra gears. Hope my readers were on!
The Fashion Police Report
The real winner of the day was baby pink, which was the trending color of 2026. It matched perfectly with the slightly sun-blushed (read: wind-chilled) faces of the crowd.
Looking Ahead to the Big One
With the spruce fences well-warmed and the “Topham” successfully navigated, all eyes now turn to Saturday. The Grand National looms, and after today’s mix of favorites and long-shot legends, anyone who claims they “definitely” know the winner is either a time traveler or has had one too many gins in the Queen Mother Stand.
Aintree: Tomorrow (Saturday, April 11, 2026) Note will add more tomorrow morning. 🌅
Tomorrow is the final day of the Grand National Festival. Based on the latest Timeform “Weight-Adjusted” ratings, here are the ones to watch:
Key Races & Top Rated
12:45 Maghull Novices’ Chase (G1): Salvator Mundi (Top Rated) – Expected to be the class of the field after a dominant win at Thurles.
13:55 Mersey Novices’ Hurdle (G1): Bossman Jack , Highly regarded by Timeform after a strong seasonal progression.
15:05 Liverpool Hurdle (G1): Honesty Policy – Rated 154p, showing significant potential to take down established stars like Strong Leader.
16:00 The Randox Grand National: * While weights level the field, I Am Maximus (Timeform 168) and Banbridge are among the highest-rated “raw” talents in the lineup. Note will add The Grand National Selections
Tomorrow morning 🌅
Firefox (16:00 Aintree): Highlighted by Timeform handicapper Phil Turner as an “overpriced outsider” for the National. He is guaranteed a run and bred to stay this extreme trip. So will Gerri Colombe, Lecky Watson who is a Group 1 horse 🐴. And for a nice story as Brian Hayes is expecting his first child Spanish Harlem.
Good morning 🌅 Saturday the day of the big one. Don’t forget to subscribe below .
The Day’s Best (Nap): Salvator Mundi (12:45) Kala Conti is the main threat Elliot had a great day one double so a trainer to watch.
Timeform identifies him as a standout in the Maghull Novices’ Chase. Despite a light campaign, his peak figures make him the one to beat in the opener.
Mersey Novices’ Hurdle (13:55): Bossman Jack Timeform’s verdict is for the Dan Skelton runner to resume winning ways after a strong showing at Cheltenham. Ballyfad (Gordon Elliott) is noted as the primary danger.
Liverpool Hurdle (15:05): Air Of Entitlement A strong tip for the Henry de Bromhead yard, preferred over stablemate Hiddenvalley Lake for those looking for an alternative to the market leaders.
Handicap Pick: Bad (14:30) Noted as an “each-way steal” at 28/1. Timeform analysts suggest the step up to 3m1f with cheekpieces applied makes him a major player in the William Hill Handicap Chase. Brave Fortune and Chance Another One, early money 💰.
Summary of Timeform’s 1-2-3 for the National
1. Johnnywho (Top Rated)
2. Jagwar
3. I am Maximus
I am still reading the racing post. I will add more about The Grand National . 🔜
Here we go.
Grangeclare West
Gerri Colombe
Favori De Champdou
Stellar Story
Jagwar
Johnnywho
Don’t forget to add your thoughts in the comments below. Who do you think will win the Grand National 2026?
18+ only. Betting involves risk and losses are inevitable. Never gamble more than you can afford to lose and do not view betting as a way to make money. If gambling stops being enjoyable or becomes a concern, seek help
If there were any doubts that Emmet Mullins inherited the “magic touch” gene, they were systematically dismantled at Fairyhouse today. In a performance that was less of a race and more of a victory lap, Soldier In Milan turned the Irish Grand National into a one-horse exhibition.
Ridden by Donagh Meyler, the seven-year-old was so comfortable he looked like he was out for a morning hack in Carlow. Despite having only four previous starts under rules, he tanked into the lead after the fourth-last and stayed there, eventually sauntering home 16 lengths clear. Meyler admitted post-race he was “pinching himself” jumping the last, presumably to check he hadn’t fallen asleep and started dreaming about the 2027 Gold Cup, for which the horse is already being quoted at 33/1.
The Mullins family wasn’t done there. Earlier on the card, the legendary Energumene proved that age is just a number (and a very fast one at that) by taking the Grade 2 Fairyhouse Chase. At 2/1, it was the easiest money anyone made all Monday, though the win was tinged with sadness following the fatal injury of stablemate Saint Sam.
The Aintree Horizon: Market Movers
As the dust settles in County Meath, all eyes swivel toward the Merseyside horizon. The Grand National market is twitching like a nervous thoroughbred.
The Heavyweights: I Am Maximus remains the rock-solid 15/2 favorite, looking to reclaim the crown he won in 2024.
The Mover: Keep an eye on Nick Rockett (the 2025 winner), who is seeing significant support as punters bank on a repeat.
The Dark Horses: Grangeclare West and Jagwar are the names being whispered in the betting rings as the three-day Aintree festival looms.
While the jumpers are having their final hurrah, the Flat season is sharpening its hooves. The battle for the Top Jockey title looks like a high-speed game of musical chairs between three titans:
While the jumpers are having their final hurrah, the Flat season is sharpening its hooves. The battle for the Top Jockey title looks like a high-speed game of musical chairs between three titans:
Oisin Murphy (4/6 Favorite): Currently leading the wins tally (143) and riding like a man possessed.
Billy Loughnane (6/4 Challenger): The “Sensation” is no longer a prospect, he’s a powerhouse with 109 wins already.
William Buick (20/1 Outsider): Never count out the master of the Godolphin blue, though he trails on volume this term.
Loughnane is the one everyone is watching. His strike rate is a terrifying 21% on the All-Weather, and if he carries that momentum to the turf, Murphy might need a rearview mirror.
Tuesday’s Punt: Timeform Ratings & Naps
If you haven’t had your fill of the turf, tomorrow offers a three-course meal at Exeter, Pontefract, and Southwell. Here is the intel:
The Naps (Best Bets)
Exeter (16:10): Carrigmoorna Rowan , The strongest selection of the day. Expect a clinical performance over the fences. Watch Land Girl’s Luck.
Pontefract (16:27): Treasure Islands, A horse that loves a scrap and looks well-weighted for this test. And Lightening Company.
Southwell (17:30): Toomuchforme – The name says it all for the bookies; should be too good for this field on the synthetic surface, or Brazilian Belle.
Timeform Top Rated
Pontefract (15:57): Kylian (TFR: 101). Robert Cowell’s charge has the class to burn off this 5f handicap field if the ground holds up.
Southwell (20:00): Gesayed, could potentially remain as the one to beat in the late slot.
For the racing at Pontefract on Tuesday, April 7, 2026, the following horses have been highlighted by Timeform’s analysis and other key tipsters as the top-rated and best “Naps” (best bets) of the day.
Timeform Best Rated & Top Picks
13:57 PM – Spaceman
Timeform’s top-rated for this novice stakes. He was a significant “eye-catcher” on his debut at Redcar, finishing strongly to dead-heat for second. Despite a wide draw, he is preferred over stablemate Invincible Boy.
14:57 PM – Alpha Capture
The Timeform verdict gives him the nod here. He showed plenty of promise on his first run for the Roger Fell stable at Newcastle 17 days ago and is expected to build on that performance now back on turf.
17:35 PM – Lucius Aurelius
Selected as the Timeform winner for the finale. He is expected to benefit from a likely “pace burnout” among the front-runners, setting the race up for a late challenge.
18+ only. Betting involves risk and losses are inevitable. Never gamble more than you can afford to lose and do not view betting as a way to make money. If gambling stops being enjoyable or becomes a concern, seek help
What a day for the purists, the punters, and those who enjoy a healthy dose of “what on earth just happened?”
While the sun (mostly) shone on Fairyhouse today, the real heat was felt in the betting ring. Here’s the breakdown of today’s drama, a look at tomorrow’s marathon, and a cheeky nod to a young man who might want to invest in a new GPS for his saddle.
The rule of thumb today was simple: avoid the Cheltenham “walking wounded.” Any horse that had a lung-bursting slog up the Hill last month looked decidedly leg-weary today.
The headline was the Shock G1 Winner that left the grandstand in a stunned silence usually reserved for a missed tap-in at Croke Park. In a race where the heavy hitters from the powerhouse yards were expected to dominate, it was the unheralded outsider who found a second wind. Proving once again that at Fairyhouse, if you don’t travel into the straight with a full tank, the “uphill” finish (which looks like a molehill but feels like a mountain) will swallow you whole.
The Plumpton Pilot: Callum’s “Premature” Celebration
Before we move to tomorrow, we have to talk about Callum Pritchard at Plumpton. Riding Sweetnightingale, Callum decided to give us a masterclass in “The Art of the Early Exit.”
Having established a lead that would make a marathon runner jealous, Callum mistook the winning line with a full circuit to go. He eased up, presumably thinking about what he’d have for tea, only to realize that the “winning post” he’d just passed was merely a suggestion for the first lap.
The Verdict: The stewards were less than amused by his scenic tour of the Sussex countryside. Callum has been handed a 12-day “sabbatical” to reflect on the difference between “one to go” and “zero to go.” Better luck next time, lad, maybe count the hurdles on your fingers?
Tomorrow: The BoyleSports Irish Grand National
Monday is the big one. Fairyhouse is a wide, galloping, right-handed square, a fair track, but one that demands a horse with a “high cruising speed.” If you’re off the bridle turning for home, you’re toast.
The Track: A mile and three-quarters circuit with a steady climb away from the stands.
The Run-in: Only a furlong, so you want to be in the van or stalking the leaders jumping the last.
The Trend: Beware the top-weights. In a race over 3m 5f, gravity is a cruel mistress.
Can Mark Walsh Do the “National Double”?
Mark Walsh is the man in the hot seat. He’s opted for the progressive Showurappreciation (10-7) tomorrow, bypassing some of the flashier JP McManus names.
The Double Dream: Mark is also booked for the well-fancied Jagwar in the UK Grand National at Aintree next weekend.
Irish National Chance: Very high. Carrying just 10-7, Showurappreciation is “thrown in” on recent form (three wins on the bounce).
UK National Chance: Jagwar was a massive eye-catcher at Cheltenham.
The Verdict: If Mark lands the Irish National tomorrow, expect the Aintree price on Jagwar to collapse faster than a house of cards. He has a genuine, concrete chance at the historic double.
The “Naps” Table (Selected Experts)
The Main Nap: Majolique (14:40). Widely regarded as the most talented prospect on the card. Willie Mullins and Paul Townend are a formidable pairing here, and her 2/1 early price reflects her standing as the one to beat.
The Value Nap: Western Walk (17:00). Identified by speed figure specialists (Racing Post/Timeform) as being significantly better than his current handicap mark suggests.
The Grade 2 Specialist: The Yellow Clay (15:50). If you are looking for a horse to bounce back, Gordon Elliott’s charge has the back-class to challenge the Mullins favourite’s, Kawaboomga has a great chance.
Race-by-Race Highlights
14:40 Irish Whiskey Juvenile Hurdle (Grade 2): Willie Mullins dominates the entries, but Majolique is the standout. Proactif is seen as the main danger, with Macho Man expected to improve after a poor showing at Cheltenham.
15:50 Rathbarry & Glenview Studs Hurdle (Grade 2): A very deep field. While Storm Heart is the logical favorite, Kawaboomga (Mark Walsh) is the “dark horse” for the McManus team, and Slade Steel remains a high-class threat if the ground stays yielding.
17:00 Handicap Chase: A wide-open affair where Western Walk and Showurappreciation are the two receiving the most market support and “expert” nods for their handicap marks.
To find the winner of the 2026 Irish Grand National at Fairyhouse (Monday, April 6), you need to look past the household names and focus on the “Goldilocks” profile: a horse that is not too old, not too heavy, and not too well-fancied by the public.
1. The Weight: The “11st Ceiling”
Historically, this is a race that punters’ dreams go to die, with an average winning SP of 25/1 over the last 22 years. Here is the statistical breakdown of what a typical winner looks like.
The most powerful trend in the Irish Grand National is the handicap weight. While the Aintree equivalent has seen classier horses win with big weights recently, Fairyhouse remains a graveyard for top-weights.
The Magic Number: 19 of the last 22 winners carried 10st 13lb or less.
The Lightweight Bias: 13 of those 22 (59%) carried 10st 6lb or less.
The Exception: Only 5 winners since 1996 have carried 11st 1lb or more. While I Am Maximus (2023) and Intense Raffles (2024) bucked this trend recently, they were considered “graded” horses masquerading as handicappers.
2. The Age: The “Sweet Spot”
Veteran horses (11+) almost never win this race. The grueling 3m 5f trip at Fairyhouse requires peak athletic stamina.
Age 9 or Younger: 19 of the last 22 winners fell into this bracket.
The “8 & 9” Peak: 9 of the last 10 winners were specifically aged 8 or 9.
The Warning: Avoid 10-year-olds and older. The last double-figure aged winner was Liberty Counsel (50/1) back in 2013.
3. Betting Trends: Beware the Favourite
If you like the favorite, history suggests you should look elsewhere for your “Nap.”
Favourites’ Record: Only 3 winning favourites in the last 22 years.
The “Unplaced” Danger: 13 of the last 22 favourites failed to even finish in the top four.
Price Logic: 15 of the last 22 winners returned a double-figure price (including 150/1 and 40/1 shocks).
4. Recent Form & Experience
Fitness is Key: 19 of the last 22 winners had raced within the last 8 weeks. Arriving “fresh” (off a 3-month break) is usually a negative.
Stamina Proven: 20 of the last 22 winners had already won a race over at least 3 miles.
The “Irish-Bred” Factor: 16 of the last 22 winners were bred in Ireland, highlighting the local dominance in this staying division
The 2026 Stat Verdict: Look for a mid-market runner (12/1–20/1) aged 8, mcarrying around 10st 8lb, who finished in the top four in a Navan or Leopardstown trial within the last two months.
What is your verdict? Add in the comments
I might add more tomorrow morning 🌅
Good morning 🌅
Irish Grand National (17:00)
While the market is wide open, Timeform has flagged Search For Glory (22/1) as a primary selection.
The Logic: He has been consistent in high-level novice company and looks like the type to relish this 3m 5f test.
Alternative: Better Times Ahead (14/1) is also highlighted as a “Horse in Focus” and a top pick for JP McManus’s chances in the race.
Thankyounforthedays in the first race and watch local trainers:
Top-Tier Trainers Nearby
Ger Lyons (Glenburnie Stables, Dunsany): Located just about 15 minutes from Fairyhouse, Lyons is one of Ireland’s leading flat trainers. His state-of-the-art facility is known for producing classic winners like Siskin and Even So.
Gavin Cromwell (Danestown, Balrath): Roughly 20 minutes away, Cromwell is a powerhouse in both National Hunt (Jumps) and Flat racing. He famously trained Flooring Porter to multiple Stayers’ Hurdle wins.
Gordon Elliott (Cullentra House, Longwood): While a bit further west (about 30-35 minutes), Elliott is a massive local presence. He is a multiple Grand National-winning trainer and a constant force at Fairyhouse festivals.
Dermot McLoughlin (Bodeen, Ratoath): Truly “local” as he is based right in Ratoath. He achieved legendary status by winning back-to-back Irish Grand Nationals at Fairyhouse with Freewheelin Dylan (2021) and Lord Lariat (2022).
Other Notable Trainers in the Area
Meath is densely populated with smaller yards and satellite stables. Other trainers within a short radius include:
Matthew Smith (Kilmessan): A dual-purpose trainer located very close to the track.
Thomas Gibney (Trim): Best known for winning the Irish Grand National with Lion Na Bearnai.
Noel Meade (Tu Va Stables, Castletown): A multiple-time champion trainer based roughly 25-30 minutes north of the course.
Key Horse to Watch
Energumene (16:20) The dual Champion Chase winner returns to action in the Grade 2 Underwriting Exchange Fairyhouse Chase. While he faces a stiff challenge from Found A Fifty, he remains the highest-rated horse on pure talent across the entire day’s card. Watch E Cawley horses in the 15:15 for Ew Money. 💰
18+ only. Betting involves risk and losses are inevitable. Never gamble more than you can afford to lose and do not view betting as a way to make money. If gambling stops being enjoyable or becomes a concern, seek help
Silks and Shenanigans 